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Bestselling author Michael Covel is the host of Trend Following Radio with 15+ million listens. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trading -- all passionately explored and debated. Guests include Nobel Prize winners: Robert Aumann, Angus Deaton, Daniel Kahneman, Oliver Hart, Harry Markowitz & Vernon Smith. More guests: Jack Canfield, Howard Marks, James Altucher, Dan Ariely, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Kathleen Eisenhardt, Marc Faber, Tim Ferriss, Jason Fried, Gerd Gigerenzer, Larry Hite, Sally Hogshead, Ryan Holiday, Jack Horner, Ewan Kirk, Steven Kotler, Michael Mauboussin, Tucker Max, Barry Ritholtz, Jim Rogers, Jack Schwager, Ed Seykota, Philip Tetlock & Walter Williams. 1200+ episodes.

Dec 21, 2012

My guest today is Richard Weissman, a professional trader with over 25 years of experience and an author. Weissman considers himself a "swing trader". He is one of the world’s foremost authorities and thought leaders in the fields of derivatives, risk management and technical analysis.

The topic is his book Trade Like a Casino: Find Your Edge, Manage Risk, and Win Like the House.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • Weissman's path from how he started trading with his father in 1987 to how he made his way to where he is today
  • Background to Weissman naming his book
  • The influence of Jack Schwager's work
  • Risk management
  • Positive expectancy
  • How Weissman defines trends and signs of strength
  • The idea of "don't anticipate, just participate"
  • Positive expectancy and the probability skew
  • The connection between table limits and risk management
  • How there are no truly "safe investments"
  • Some tools that Weissman has used to influence his own trading psychology and smooth out the emotional highs and lows
  • Not letting a high price stop you from buying, and not letting a low price stop you from selling
  • Weissman's concept of "the opaque urn"
  • The three things you can guarantee

Jump in!


I’m MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I’m proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

To start? I’d like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here:

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