Nov 2, 2015
On today’s episode of Trend Following Radio Michael talks the
timelessness of sticking with your system. Michael uses Jack
Schwager and his books Market Wizards and The New Market Wizards as
prime examples of timelessness. Although they were written years
back, he argues they have not lost an ounce of value in today’s
trading world. Michael harps on critics that say the Market Wizards
books have no place in 2015 markets, noting that one of the great
concepts introduced in Schwagers’ books was the notion of
“systems”. Although the concept of having a system had been around
for over 100 years, Schwager was one of the first to present and
teach in an interview format.
Michael then segues into a clip with Howard Lindzon of Stock Twits. Howard further makes the point that having “Any system is better than no system”. He goes on to say, “You have to have a system to beat another system.” Howard talks about Jerry Parker, his trading style and why he has become so successful. Covel asks listeners, “What kind of system do you want? What are the risks and rewards? There are all kinds of systems out there. Have you done the work to find out the pros and cons? What kind of life do you want to have?” The system you choose will dictate that. People who tell you the Schwager books are dated are the same people that will sell you anything. These people go off of gut, intuition or even magical feelings, and that is their decision-making process. Trust that the highest achievers and money-makers on Wall Street trust their systems, painstakingly researched and developed. When times are good they leave it alone, and when times are bad they leave it alone.
Covel plays one last legacy excerpt from Bill Dunn. Dunn lays out that his approach is long term trend following and quantitative. His company does not override their signals ever and they have serious risk management programs in place. They have a 1% probability of losing 20% or more in a one month period. However, the client can choose more or less risk. He shows how his firm does not correlate with the S&P and their positions and trades are completely transparent to their clients. Dunn makes it clear that his performance is not a result of anyone’s judgment. It is a result of long tested simulations and models. Timelessness personified.
In this episode of Trend Following Radio: