Trend Following with Michael Covel
Bestselling author Michael Covel is the host of Trend Following Radio with 9.5+ million listens. Investments, economics, decision-making, human behavior & entrepreneurship--all passionately explored. Guests include Nobel Prize winners Robert Aumann, Angus Deaton, Daniel Kahneman, Harry Markowitz & Vernon Smith. Also: James Altucher, Dan Ariely, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Kathleen Eisenhardt, Marc Faber, Tim Ferriss, Jason Fried, Gerd Gigerenzer, Larry Hite, Sally Hogshead, Ryan Holiday, Jack Horner, Ewan Kirk, Steven Kotler, Michael Mauboussin, Tucker Max, Barry Ritholtz, Jim Rogers, Jack Schwager, Ed Seykota, Philip Tetlock & Walter Williams. All 800+ eps at

Covel talks to entrepreneur/trader Timothy Sykes. While their views differ on trading approaches, they agree on certain base principles--especially their skeptical nature and not trusting the system. Sykes is not a trend following trader, but Covel discusses certain systematic approaches that Sykes has used. Other topics include Sykes's early career entry into trading, studying the market his way and how tennis for him relates to trading. Love him or hate him, Sykes is compelling! Special Offer: receive free DVD delivered to your home or office:

Direct download: TrendFollowingManifesto052912.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 11:07pm EDT

Michael Covel talks to Todd Miller, a trader who runs a systematic trend following firm, Availeth Capital, with partner Jim Byers. Availeth is a small fund which was started in February 2011, and Covel relates Miller's start to his chapter in 'The Little Book of Trading' on trader David Druz. Covel and Miller discuss how Miller got his start working at Fidelity, and how observing the annual returns of one of Fidelity's biggest mutual funds after the tech bubble burst led him to adopting a trend following mindset. Miller put in some serious studying during his next few day jobs at National City Bank and PNC, and he discusses the path he took that eventually led him to starting Availeth Capital. Miller and Covel also speak about the importance of in-person interaction; the issue of survivorship bias; how trend following is the only strategy that can take advantage of the uncertainty that is coming; and how some trend following traders have followed other passions once they've made their billions. Covel also discusses his upcoming 10,000 (!) page book, Trend Following Analytics. Special Offer: receive free DVD delivered to your home or office:

Direct download: TrendFollowingManifesto052412.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00am EDT

Michael Covel talks to writer and trader Jack Schwager, author of the Market Wizards series. Schwager's new book, Hedge Fund Market Wizards, is now out. Covel and Schwager discuss some of the commonalities between the many traders Schwager has interviewed, and the lessons that can be gleaned from their diverse approaches. Schwagger's new book opens with a quote regarding the importance of even-mindedness from rock climber Alex Honnold, and Covel and Schwager discuss how topics seemingly unrelated to trading can contain relevant lessons. Many of the other traders profiled in Hedge Fund Market Wizards are discussed, including Ed Thorp, Steve Clark, Jaffray Woodriff, and Ray Dalio. Covel asks Schwager what his big takeaways from his interviews have been, and the lessons he's learned from talking to some of the most successful traders in the game. Further topics include how markets behave differently in different environments; the importance of asymmetric positive skew trades; how diversification is the "only free lunch on wall street"; how Schwager defines risk; and the "gain to pain" ratio. Special Offer: receive free DVD delivered to your home or office:

Direct download: TrendFollowingManifesto052212.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 7:02pm EDT

Michael Covel talks to trader and educator James Rohrbach. Rohrbach has been trading for 40 years, created his RIX index, and runs an educational service at While he calls himself a "market timer", he's a trend follower. Rohrbach and Covel talk about why buy and hold is dead, and the psychology behind people desperately clinging onto it. Rohrbach and Covel discuss why - even when buy and hold supplies a winning outcome - it still might not be a good strategy. Further topics include using a 15/30 day crossover as a quick and simple system; why Rohrbach doesn't short; and making sure your feelings don't overrule your process. Special Offer: receive free DVD delivered to your home or office:

Direct download: TrendFollowingManifesto051712rohrbach.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00am EDT

Michael Covel talks to Francisco Vaca of Vaca Capital Management. A math whiz from an early age, Vaca first pursued a career as a particle physicist. Always intrigued by the financial markets, Vaca started an investment club with his family while pursuing his Ph.D., and his scientific background led him to a "stats" approach to investing. When institutional funding stood in the way of working on a particle accelerator, a unique opportunity to work in the financial markets beckoned. After answering a mysterious newspaper advertisement in 1996, Vaca ended up working at the legendary C&D Commodities (see book: 'The Complete TurtleTrader'); he was handed a copy of Jack Schwager's 'Market Wizards', and quickly realized the achievements of his new employers. Vaca and Covel also get to the bottom of the source of profits in the futures markets; why people who are on the losing side of trades still play the game; the importance of diversification; and why you should take every signal you can. Pay attention, Vaca brings wisdom (see: Special Offer: receive free DVD delivered to your home or office:

Direct download: TrendFollowingManifesto051712Vaca.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 9:16pm EDT

Trend following wisdom with the most inspiring Market Wizard Ed Seykota.

Direct download: TrendFollowingManifesto051512.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 6:48pm EDT

Michael Covel speaks to Douglas Stewart of Sherwood Forest Capital Management. An education major in college, Stewart was introduced to the financial services world before ever entering the classroom as a teacher. Stewart started his career in finance around 1995, and he shares some of his experiences coming of age during the dotcom bubble. Once the bubble burst, he immersed himself for ten hours a day for several years studying books such as Jack Schwager's "Market Wizards", which led him to his lightbulb moment; he explains how this led him into the trend following space. Stewart also relates an interesting experience he had at a panel in November of 2008 where he explained, in song, how he wasn't able to predict the markets. Afterwards, an esteemed guest brought up Nassim Taleb's "The Black Swan" - and somehow missed the point that Stewart was following the markets rather than following luck. This leads to conversation about how ego can hurt you in the trend following world, why a majority will never really want to adopt a trend following perspective, and the zen of accepting that you'll never be able to accurately predict where the markets might go. Special Offer: receive free DVD delivered to your home or office:

Direct download: TrendFollowingManifesto051012.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 6:43pm EDT

Michael speaks to Mark Melin, a managed futures expert, editor/writer for Opalesque, and author. Melin has become a defacto investigative reporter for the MF Global scandal. Covel and Melin consider the MF Global story from the very beginning, back to the very basics, and discuss the political context, why the story isn't front page news, and how it might effect you in the long run. A sobering conversation. Special Offer: receive free DVD delivered to your home or office:

Direct download: TrendFollowingManifesto050312.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 9:10pm EDT

Michael covers several disparate topics and brings them together into a basic trend following message about thinking clearly. First, Michael discusses former Lehmen Brothers veterans starting a "systematic innovative volatility fund". Michael cuts through the jargon and gets down to the core issue: at the end of the day, a trend following strategy has to be clear, and this one sounds confusing. Michael also discusses a newsletter from Hugh Hendry, although technically a fundamental trader, Michael brings up how Hendry might indeed be a "closet" trend following trader. Hendry's core ideas are important to trend following philosophy, such as taking control of your own destiny, and the belief that the unexpected will happen. "You're on your own, you must take ownership of your own destiny". Next, Michael talks about pain and how the latest Jack White single might give some insight into the pain you can find yourself in if you don't have clear thinking (a plan). Special Offer: receive free DVD delivered to your home or office:

Direct download: TrendFollowingManifesto050112.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 4:27pm EDT